For instructing solicitors and counsel

A characterisation asserted is a characterisation dismantled. The method has to predate the instruction.

From the free atlas

Assadist Syria

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The strongest thing an expert can bring to a classification question is a codebook that was published, dated and version-controlled before the instruction existed — together with a public record of the times it produced an answer against its own author.

What tends to be the problem

Country experts are slow to instruct and often unavailable inside the timetable
Many available experts are regional specialists with visible political commitments
Opposing counsel attacks methodology, and most reports have none to show
Classification questions recur constantly and are handled ad hoc each time

The free report

Political Classification as Expert Evidence

What survives cross-examination, and what does not.

Why an asserted characterisation fails under cross-examination and a derived one does not
The methodology annex: what it contains and why it is annexed rather than summarised
Structural limits — confidence ratings and contested flags as part of the instrument, not concessions
The published revision log, and why thirty corrections strengthen rather than weaken a report
The hard boundary: political position is classified, legal findings are not

The report is published in full, free, with nothing to fill in. If you would rather just read it now, you can.

Read Political Classification as Expert Evidence

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Expert Report

A written expert report on the political character of a named organisation, prepared for use in proceedings. The methodology annex sets out a codebook that was published and dated before the instruction existed, which is the point.

from $4,6003–4 weeks

A complete sample briefPublished unredacted, on the hardest subject available The codebookWhat every score means, before you decide whether to trust one What it cannot doIncluding the largest weakness, named by us rather than found by you