Atlas / Organisations / Sudanese Armed Factions
Sudanese Armed Factions
SAF / RSF · 2019– · Sudan · Military Factions · Held state power · coding confidence low
Each axis runs from −10 to +10, with zero a genuine mixed or balanced position rather than an absence of opinion. A score describes a stated position and a governing record; it is not a judgement of merit. What each score means →
Core principles
Two branches of the security apparatus that jointly overthrew a civilian transition and then turned on each other.
Economic model
Gold exports controlled by armed groups, collapsed agriculture, famine conditions across large areas.
Organisation of powers
No constitution in force, no elections, no civilian authority; the largest displacement crisis in the world.
Reading note
Included to mark that the space this atlas measures includes states where no political order exists at all.
Check a claim about Sudanese Armed Factions. The interactive atlas measures the distance between any two organisations across all six axes and shows which ones carry the disagreement.
Open in the atlasThe evidence for every score
All six cells are sourced. A rationale explains what the score is measuring and each artefact is something a third party can check without taking anyone's word for it.
EC · Economic organisation · scored +03
Coded +3: gold exports controlled by armed groups.
- Documented act or statuteGold is the principal export and its trade is controlled by the belligerents.
CU · Social and cultural order · scored +07
Coded +7: sharia-based law with a brief secularising transition in between.
- Documented act or statuteThe transitional government repealed the apostasy law and public order acts in 2020; the coup reversed the direction.
AU · Organisation of power · scored +10
At the ceiling: no constitution, no civilian authority and no election in prospect.
- Documented act or statuteThe civilian transitional government was removed by coup in October 2021; the two coup partners went to war in April 2023.
SC · Scale of decision · scored +07
Coded +7: a contest for control of a centralised state.
- Documented act or statuteBoth belligerents seek control of the national capital and state apparatus.
ID · Rule of membership · scored +08
Coded +8: ethnically targeted violence in Darfur documented by UN investigators.
- Documented act or statuteThe 2023 killings in West Darfur were assessed by investigators as ethnically targeted against the Masalit.
CH · Method and tempo · scored +09
Coded +9: state authority replaced by armed contest.
- Documented act or statuteOver 12 million people have been displaced and famine has been formally determined in multiple areas.
Nearest organisations by measured distance
Straight-line separation across all six axes, out of a maximum of 49.0. Proximity means similarity of stated position, not endorsement and not resemblance in outcome.
- National Socialism3.6
- Myanmar: NLD and Tatmadaw3.6
- Italian Fascism3.9
- Syrian Transitional Authority4.0
- Taliban4.5
- Islamic State4.7
Countries
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Scores are revised on evidence, so a citation should carry the version it refers to. Version 4.3.1 is current; the revision log records every change.
Free to quote and reproduce with attribution. This is a synthesis rather than a peer-reviewed dataset — where an authoritative figure is needed, cite the Chapel Hill Expert Survey, the Manifesto Project or V-Dem.