Atlas / Organisations / Kenyan Coalition Politics

Kenyan Coalition Politics

UDA / Azimio · 2002– · Kenya · Big-Tent Clientelist · Electoral party · coding confidence medium

+04ECmarket
+05CUtraditional
+01AUmonist
+03SCcentral
+05IDascriptive
−05CHlawful

Each axis runs from −10 to +10, with zero a genuine mixed or balanced position rather than an absence of opinion. A score describes a stated position and a governing record; it is not a judgement of merit. What each score means →

Core principles

Coalitions assembled around ethnic arithmetic and personality rather than around programme, with real electoral competition between them.

Economic model

Infrastructure debt, agricultural exports, a large informal sector, mobile money penetration among the highest in the world.

Organisation of powers

The supreme court annulled a presidential election in 2017, the first such ruling in Africa, and the rerun proceeded.

Reading note

The 2007–08 post-election violence killed over a thousand people; the 2010 constitution devolved substantial power to counties in response.

Check a claim about Kenyan Coalition Politics. The interactive atlas measures the distance between any two organisations across all six axes and shows which ones carry the disagreement.

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The evidence for every score

All six cells are sourced. A rationale explains what the score is measuring and each artefact is something a third party can check without taking anyone's word for it.

EC · Economic organisation · scored +04

Coded +4: infrastructure debt and agricultural exports.

  • Documented act or statutePublic debt rose above 70% of GDP by 2023, driving the 2024 finance bill protests.

CU · Social and cultural order · scored +05

Coded +5: religious conservatism across both blocs.

  • Documented act or statuteSame-sex relations remain criminalised and the high court upheld the law in 2019.

AU · Organisation of power · scored +01

Coded +1: genuine competition with a landmark judicial check.

  • Documented act or statuteThe supreme court annulled the 2017 presidential result for irregularities, the first such ruling in Africa; the rerun was boycotted.

SC · Scale of decision · scored +03

Coded +3: substantial devolution created after electoral violence.

  • Documented act or statuteThe 2010 constitution created 47 counties with their own governors, assemblies and guaranteed revenue share.

ID · Rule of membership · scored +05

Coded +5: ethnic coalition arithmetic as the organising principle of national politics.

  • Documented act or statuteThe 2007–08 post-election violence killed over 1,100 people and displaced around 600,000 along ethnic lines.

CH · Method and tempo · scored −05

Coded −5: electoral since 2002, with a violent exception in 2007.

  • Documented act or statutePower transferred by election in 2002, 2013 and 2022.

Nearest organisations by measured distance

Straight-line separation across all six axes, out of a maximum of 49.0. Proximity means similarity of stated position, not endorsement and not resemblance in outcome.

Countries

Kenya

Cite this page

Scores are revised on evidence, so a citation should carry the version it refers to. Version 4.3.1 is current; the revision log records every change.

McGrath, K. (2026). Kenyan Coalition Politics. The Political Atlas, version 4.2. https://thepoliticalatlas.com/organisations/kenya_blocs/ (accessed 2026-08-01).

Free to quote and reproduce with attribution. This is a synthesis rather than a peer-reviewed dataset — where an authoritative figure is needed, cite the Chapel Hill Expert Survey, the Manifesto Project or V-Dem.