Atlas / Organisations / Syrian Transitional Authority
Syrian Transitional Authority
HTS-led · 2024– · Syria · Islamist Transitional · Held state power · coding confidence low
Each axis runs from −10 to +10, with zero a genuine mixed or balanced position rather than an absence of opinion. A score describes a stated position and a governing record; it is not a judgement of merit. What each score means →
Core principles
An Islamist armed group that took Damascus and now administers a transition it has promised will end in elections.
Economic model
Sanctions relief negotiations, reconstruction, currency stabilisation, an economy destroyed by fourteen years of war.
Organisation of powers
A transitional constitutional declaration issued in 2025 with a multi-year timetable and no elected legislature yet.
Reading note
Coded at the lowest confidence in the dataset. The trajectory of this entry is genuinely undetermined and any score here should be treated as provisional.
Check a claim about Syrian Transitional Authority. The interactive atlas measures the distance between any two organisations across all six axes and shows which ones carry the disagreement.
Open in the atlasThe evidence for every score
All six cells are sourced. A rationale explains what the score is measuring and each artefact is something a third party can check without taking anyone's word for it.
EC · Economic organisation · scored +04
Coded +4: sanctions relief negotiations and currency stabilisation in a destroyed economy.
- Comparative datasetAround 90% of the population was below the poverty line at the transition.
CU · Social and cultural order · scored +08
Coded +8: an Islamist movement issuing assurances to minorities it has yet to institutionalise.
- Documented act or statuteThe 2025 constitutional declaration names Islamic jurisprudence as a main source of legislation.
AU · Organisation of power · scored +08
Coded +8: a transitional authority with no elected legislature.
- Documented act or statuteThe constitutional declaration provides for a multi-year transition with an appointed assembly.
SC · Scale of decision · scored +07
Coded +7: a unitary state contending with autonomous regions in the north-east.
- Documented act or statuteIntegration agreements with the north-eastern administration were signed in 2025 and remain partial.
ID · Rule of membership · scored +07
Coded +7: assurances to Alawite, Druze and Christian communities against a record of sectarian violence.
- Documented act or statuteCoastal violence in March 2025 killed large numbers of Alawite civilians.
CH · Method and tempo · scored +06
Coded +6: power taken by armed offensive in eleven days.
- Documented act or statuteDamascus fell in December 2024 after a rapid offensive from Idlib.
Nearest organisations by measured distance
Straight-line separation across all six axes, out of a maximum of 49.0. Proximity means similarity of stated position, not endorsement and not resemblance in outcome.
- Myanmar: NLD and Tatmadaw3.3
- Greek Colonels3.6
- Meiji State Modernism3.7
- Integral Nationalism3.7
- Taliban3.7
- Italian Fascism3.9
Countries
Cite this page
Scores are revised on evidence, so a citation should carry the version it refers to. Version 4.3.1 is current; the revision log records every change.
Free to quote and reproduce with attribution. This is a synthesis rather than a peer-reviewed dataset — where an authoritative figure is needed, cite the Chapel Hill Expert Survey, the Manifesto Project or V-Dem.