Atlas / Claim checks / Does democracy work in Africa

Does democracy work in Africa? The claim, measured

“Democracy has failed in Africa.”

Measured against Botswana Democratic Party and Mauritian Democracy

3.3distance of a possible 49.0
EC CU AU SC ID CHaxes within 3 points
noneaxes 8+ points apart

Distance is measured across six independent axes, each running from −10 to +10, out of a maximum separation of 49.0. How the scoring works →

Strongest case for the claim

Since 2020 there have been successful coups in Mali, Burkina Faso, Guinea, Niger, Sudan and Gabon. Several liberation parties have governed unbroken for four decades. Several long-serving presidents have removed term limits from their own constitutions.

Strongest case against

Botswana held competitive elections continuously from independence and handed power to the opposition in 2024 after fifty-eight years. Mauritius ranks at the top of African democracy indices with repeated alternation. Cape Verde's ruling party legalised opposition and then lost. Ghana has transferred power between rival parties four times. Malawi's constitutional court annulled a fraudulent presidential election and the opposition won the rerun.

What the coordinates show. The atlas codes twenty-seven African organisations. They span from −08 to +10 on the authority axis — the full width of the ruler. The generalisation in the question is not wrong about the cases it selects; it is wrong because it is a generalisation, and the counter-cases are recorded here specifically because they are never the ones cited.

The six measurements

AxisBDPMauritian DemocracyGap
EC · Economic organisation+04+031
CU · Social and cultural order+04+022
AU · Organisation of power−03−052
SC · Scale of decision+03+021
ID · Rule of membership+03+021
CH · Method and tempo−08−080

Both cases are stated because the atlas does not settle arguments by assertion. Where the underlying dispute is conceptual rather than factual, that is said plainly rather than resolved.

Full comparison

Check it yourself

The interactive atlas holds 319 organisations on six independent axes with the evidence for every score. Paste any claim that equates two political things and it will find them and report the measurement.

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